Scramble-Iranian “Phantom” tries to intercept US Predator


Thursday March 14, Pentagon announced an attempt by an Iranian Phantom-2 type plane to intercept an MQ-1 Predator, which was escorted by two other aircraft. Ultimately the Phantom broke off after a verbal warning and as it was initially stated one of the escort jets fired off a flare, a claim that US officials denounced later on. Spokesman George Little said that the Phantom was within 25 km range of the Predator drone, which was carrying out “a routine classified surveillance flight” over the Gulf, flying over international waters as US claims.

There is a precedence in regard to “dogfights” over the Gulf, when in November 2012 an Iranian Fighter Jet actually opened fire against a Predator drone, an incident which provoked a harsh lash out by Washington. Since then US officials stated that they would keep on the surveillance operations over what they consider to be International Waters, with the exception that the Drones would be escorted by fighter jets. As George Little put it: “We reserve the right to protect our military assets as well as our forces and will continue to do so going forward”.

DefenseHorizon has already informed its readers over the orchestrated actions of China-Iran and North Korea, which constitute a strategic triangle, a very dangerous ones for the US should a future conflict breaks out. It may be a coincidence but yesterday the new President of China officially assumed his duties. Xi Jinping has been characterized by experts to be a leader, who will pursue more actively China’s expansionist ambitions. We may compare what is happening in the Geostrategic “Bermuda Triangle” to the Chaos theory, which actually suggests that a butterfly in the Atlantic can cause a hurricane in the Pacific, though in the case of Iran-China-N.Korea this theory has a somewhat more “solid” and specific substrate.

Through the eyes of an expert, China sends a message, that it will pursue a war of two fronts and that would be a nightmare for the US. Although there are but a few possibilities Washington to pursue a strike against Iran during the current period, nevertheless the “Triangle Strategy” makes clear that it will have Washington pinned down in one location while fighting at another one. Thus, should an escalation in the Pacific occurs, Iran will keep provoking the US, forcing it even to open up a new front in the Middle East or worse if Israel pursues a strike by itself against Iran, then the Pacific front will be activated and again Washington will find itself playing in two “tennis courts”.

Alexandros Boufesis reporting for DefenseHorizon and Focus Dynamics Research Center

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