North Korea threatens with preemptive nuclear strike-Analysis of the “real situation”

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The UN Security Council is preparing to vote for the new sanctions on North Korea, which are meant to deter the Norths from further nuclear tests or rocket launches in general. This “sanctions strategy”, though, has already proven non efficient as not only does it not deter the DPRK from carrying on with its nuclear program, but it provokes it to hasten it. The joint military exercises between the US and the Souths, the sanctions and last but not least the inauguration of a female in the South, have intensified the belligerent rhetoric of the Norths, this time warning that it will cancel the 1953 armistice, which ended the “Korean War”, and move on to the offensive by launching a nuclear preemptive strike either against the South or against the US.

The new sanctions which are proposed against the regime are meant to deter North Korean financial centers (or financial centers in general) from funneling money into the North’s illegitimate nuclear program. They are also meant to step up scrutiny of suspicious sea shipments and air cargo, to name just a few. The Chinese have “bargained down” with the US regarding the measures which are going to be voted for, but DefenseHorizon has reiterated many times what the Chinese are trying to bring about in the Asia-Pac region.

Those who think that the tensions in the Korean peninsula, the East China Sea and (even) the Middle East are isolated from each other, miss the whole point, which is nothing more than a  China’s stratagem. China is working closely with Iran and North Korea, what STRATFOR has correctly referred to as “Triangle”. China is cooperating with Russia as well but this is another case. The provocation levels in the Asian Pacific region have been raised either by China or the Norths. In the Middle East region the eyes are on the recent UN hostage crisis and a potential strike against Iran, while Iran plays its own part in the provocation game to keep US entangled in the already formed stalemate.

Every war is based on deception and most political analysts think that either the Norths are going ahead with their rough rhetoric once more or end of the day they would never dare launch anything against the US. There are two distinguished scenarios, though which, frankly speaking, do not resemble each other. One thing is launching a nuclear missile and another “hitting the spot”, West Coast for example. Obviously the analysts are referring to the second scenario, but who says that the Norths want to actually “hit the spot”, being the West Coast or Seoul? They just want to bring Washington into the Pacific War theater, while at the same time being clogged down in the Middle East, that’s where China comes in.

This is our evaluation and of course we might be wrong. As a matter of fact, we wish we end up being wrong, because if such a scenario comes to pass then the “Revelation” should be re-written including excerpts of the “real thing”.

Alexandros Boufesis- Geopolitical analyst reporting for both DefenseHorizon and Focus Dynamics

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