“For the alliance”: Our prediction coming true, Israel sliding under the protection of Russia


An historic deal occurred today, setting new parameters for the future Geopolitical vectors in the broader Middle East Region. As the Wall Street Journal reported, OAO Gazprom (one of Gazprom’s subsidiaries) signed a contract to market LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) from one of the Israel’s biggest deposits, the “Tamar”. The Russian company has signed a 20 year deal with Levant LNG Marketing Corp. to exclusively buy LNG from the Tamar offshore gas field.

“This is an important milestone for strengthening Gazprom’s position in the global LNG market, we are confident that this deal will not only help strengthen and diversify Gazprom’s LNG portfolio, but also help GM&T build on our success in the Asia-Pacific region, where we have recently closed long and medium-term deals with numerous counterparties in India and North East Asia”. That was a statement issued by Gazprom Marketing & Trading CEO Vitaly Vasiliev. Let us look at the numbers, though, which are equally impressive. The Tamar gas field is one of the two large ones along with the Leviathan, located off the coast of Haifa. Tamar’s reserves are estimated to be at about 238 billion cubic meter, while the potential of Leviathan is at 453 cu meters.

More important than the numbers themselves though, is the fact that the biggest US ally in the region, Israel, has given trade rights to a Russian company, especially Gazprom, which has come under scrutiny from the Western governments, allegedly because of corruption issues, monopolies etc. If one considers in addition, the gigantic efforts put up by the US in order to prohibit Greece from giving DEPA (The public gas company destined to be privatized) to Russia, then the deal signed with Israel seems even more stunning. Yesterday Matthew Bryza, the US Energy Secretary, in a rather “imperial appearance” during Athens Energy Forum 2013, dictated US’s terms on the energy policy Greece has to follow and to cut a long story short he prompted the Greek politicians to think twice before giving DEPA to the Russians, even if they end up being the ones who offer more (Hail Democracy). 

That being said, we are talking about the beginning of groundbreaking Geostrategic shifts like Israel turning to Russia, which as stated only by DefenseHorizon, has the appropriate influence in order to shield the country from the rising extremism and its disastrous-for Israel-repercussions. At the same time we notice that Germany is shifting away from “Meseberg”, a potential bridging with Russia and is headed more towards the recently proposed TransAtlantic deal, whereby a Free Trade Zone will be implemented between the EU and the US. This, as we once again have stated, could result in catastrophic consequences both for Europe and the US, as the two “participants” have radically different means of macroeconomic strategies and by consequence totally different ways to handle crises. Today, Bernancke stood once more for Quantitative Easing, the Germans every time they hear that, they develop a “rush” because as they claim it reminds them of the “Weymar’s inflation period”.

We still don’t know how things are going to end up. Israel is definitely showing a great willingness to open “wide channels” at all levels with the Russian Federation, while seeming Germany and the EU seem to take once again their former positions alongside NATO. This can very well be a political “U-turn” (as Margaret Thatcher had once put it, although she added later that ladies don’t do U-turns), as Germany has U-turned on the Turkish issue of entering the European Union. This is stranger than the first and given the fact that elections are nigh, Chancellor Merkel may be improvising “just a bit” in order to secure her further staying in power. Both the above scenarios, though, of establishing a trans-Atlantic Free Trade Zone and most importantly Turkey entering the EU, are not very likely to be implemented as there are “structural issues”, within the EU, which are not prone to such profound alterations.

Source: http://www.defensehorizon.com affiliated website!

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