Turkey and the method of driving its opponents to despair-The hot zones of Greece

Turkish politics have hardly changed since the Ottoman times, not to mention since the butchering of the Greeks living in Smirni (now Izmir) and the genocide of the Armenians. History and time in general are factors, which are considered able to change both the political factors and the people themselves, but that is hardly the case for Turkey or Germany or Japan (especially with the events being unfolded in the Eastern Pacific region regarding Japanese claims of islands belonging to three different countries namely Russia, South Korea and China). But the case of Turkey is the one worth studying at the moment, outside the context of any historically linked prejudice. The last few days fires have burned out the Greek island of Chios, lying into very close proximity to the Turkish borders. It is not the first time that MIT-Turkish Intelligence Services- have pursued this method of sabotaging hostile territory, as in 1997 (2007 as well), Turks admitted that they were the ones lighting fires all over Peloponnese (South Greece). There is a great difference though between then and now. Back then Turkish intentions were just to sabotage Greece’s territory and cause damage during the tourist season. Now, though, the case is quite different. As the Greek site http://www.olympia.gr reports the Northern part of the island (Chios) is not favorable for disembarkation operation, whereas the Southern part is, provided of course that the forest are burned down. The Greek post associated with the issue brings up another very logical reason behind the fires. Once the fires burn down everything in the inner parts of the island, artillery units will be unable to find safe haven on the island in case they have to defend it. As we are informed by the Greek magazine “Defense Bible” (2011-12 edition) the new artillery units M109G3A2 (photo) would augment the country’s defense capabilities in the mainland, whereas on the islands older units like M109A1B, M109A2 and M109A5 would be following their transport from the mainland. According to many modern military theorists the role of the artillery and the tank is outdated, but this theory lies only in the context of Counter Insurgency tactics adopted in the war against terror. Artillery means enhanced fires power, a factor which can determine the outcome of a conflict carried out between two countries (Greece-Turkey for example), both using heavy armored vehicles! Still, though, artillery units need shelter no matter how sophisticated and state of the art, they remain “slow moving beasts”, which once spotted they can be destroyed. Further to our worries regarding an upcoming standoff between those two ancient foes (Greece and Turkey) pose the propaganda and information war carried out in Western Thrace, where the Turks claim that not only is there a minority living there, but they are “repressed by the Greeks as well”. The reveal of the 2005 “Sledgehammer” operation designed by the now imprisoned Turkish Generals (Erdogan used the scandal to contain them, as being Kemalists, thus a thorn in his Islamic government) has added importance to the area of “Western Thrace”, but still, this region poses a secondary target for the Turkish Armed Forces, with the first one being the highly enriched in natural gas regions of the Eastern Aegean sea, now belonging to Greece.

In 1996 the two countries came in the brink of war over disputed rock islands, “Imia” in Greek, “Kardak” in Turkish. The late Richard Holbrooke acted as a diplomatic mediator, achieving an aversion of an all out war between those countries. It is notable what Hobrooke had said back then, “I can’t believe that they are going on war over a rock”, but as it came out to be there are many “rocks” around the world marking a broader Independent Economic Zone for each state, in other words areas, which can be rich in Natural Resources. With issues over alleged “Grey zones” brought up by Turkey concerning the Aegean Sea, Greeks do not have the luxury to start drilling in order to ease off their debt pain. Turkey has illusions that it can reconstruct its Ottoman strength and instill control over the broader Middle East. For reasons still unknown, the country is left to believe whatever it wants, but once the drums of war begin to sound, it is extremely likely that Turkey will find itself between hammer and anvil as both US and Russia are eager to lay their hands on those natural resources. Last but not least  both the US and Israel support the idea of creating an independent Kurdistan, thus it is only a matter of time before Turkey decides to try something “impulsive” in order to further “press the hot zones”, but in that case it is highly likely that it may hasten its unavoidable fragmentation. 

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